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Mortgage refinance doesn’t belong in the settlement talks


The WSJ has the latest mortgage-settlement trial balloon, and it’s pretty weak tea: under the terms of the deal, if (a) you’re underwater on your mortgage, and (b) you’re current on your mortgage payments, and (c) your mortgage is owned by the bank outright, rather than having been securitized, then you would be given the opportunity to refinance your mortgage at prevailing market rates. It’s worth remembering, at this point, that mortgages are by their nature prepayable. When you write a fixed-rate mortgage, you make a general assumption that if mortgage rates fall substantially, the borrower is going to pay you off and refinance. The underwater questions we’re talking about here were written during the housing boom, when banks simply assumed that house prices always went up; those banks cared massively about prepayment risk at the time, and spent huge amounts of money and effort trying to hedge it. As it happened, mortgage rates did fall substantially — with the result that the banks’ hedges paid off. But then the banks realized that they could make money on both legs of the deal — that they could collect on their mortgage-rate hedges, without having to worry about prepayment. Because now the borrowers are underwater, they’re not allowed to refinance. So the banks continue to cash above-market mortgage payments every month — something they never expected that they would be able to do. Naturally, they’re clinging on to this undeserved income stream for dear life: The refinance program would be particularly costly for banks because they would be forced to give up expected interest income on loans for which borrowers are current on their loan payments and, given their payment histories, unlikely to default. Banks can’t reduce rates on loans they don’t own because the result would be a net loss to the investor. “Nine months ago this would have been inconceivable,” said one person familiar with the banks’ thinking. Well no, it’s not inconceivable at all. In fact, wholesale mortgage refinance for underwater borrowers is a major part of Barack Obama’s jobs bill, and the CBO has been costing it in various ways. At heart, it’s a way of rectifying a market failure, and thus makes perfect sense. But that’s precisely why I don’t think that this plan deserves a place in the mortgage-settlement talks. For one thing, it’s downright unfair and invidious to allow 20% of underwater homeowners to refinance while ignoring the other 80%. More to the point, giving homeowners the ability to refinance their mortgages is what you do, if you’re a bank. It’s not some kind of gruesome punishment. So let’s keep mortgage-refinance proposals in the arena of public policy, where they belong, and where they can be implemented universally rather than piecemeal. And let’s keep holding the banks’ feet to the fire in the mortgage-settlement talks, and try to get something much more substantive out of them than this.

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EBay CEO lifts PayPal mobile payment forecast


Donahoe said total payment volume, or TPV, transmitted by mobile devices through PayPal’s system will be more than $3.5 billion in 2011, during a discussion on stage at the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco.The CEO’s previous forecast was for $3 billion in mobile TPV at PayPal this year.EBay is making a big push into mobile commerce, through smartphone apps like Red Laser, which lets shoppers scan bar codes to check prices online and at other retailers nearby.PayPal is trying to transform itself from an online payments business into a mobile payments service that works in the offline world too.Investors are watching for signs of progress in these areas because they increase the size of eBay’s potential market hugely.Last week, Donahoe said eBay’s main Marketplaces business will process almost $5 billion of gross merchandise volume via mobile devices this year. That was up from a previous estimate of roughly $4 billion.

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Champions League kicks off but is there only one winner?


Can any team steal Barcelona’s Champions League crown this term? The easy answer is no. They were so strong last season that even the final against a good Manchester United side was a stroll. This term Pep Guardiola’s men have strengthened, if that was possible, with the additions of Cesc Fabregas and Alexis Sanchez so it is hard to look past them and their silky skills. But, no team has successfully defended a Champions League title so there is hope for the rest. United have added youth to their mix and look Barca’s only proper rivals again unless Jose Mourinho can work his European Cup magic at Real Madrid. After all, it only took him two seasons to win the Champions League with an overachieving Inter Milan side. The current Inter lineup is a pale shadow of the 2010 version and the fact new signing Diego Forlan cannot play in the group stage after bosses did not realise he was cup-tied sums up the state of affairs at the San Siro. Fellow tenants AC Milan will be the strongest Italian challengers but they still do not have enough to trouble the really big boys. Arsenal are in transition, Chelsea look too old but new boss Andre Villas Boas will be desperate to finally break their Champions League duck given how owner Roman Abramovich treated coach Carlo Ancelotti last term. Debutants Manchester City and Napoli will enjoy themselves and it is impossible to predict how far City’s vast array of attacking talent will propel them but their perhaps questionable defence will be tested like never before. Olympique Lyon have long since been top dogs in France so European success is unlikely while Ligue 1 champions Lille are just happy to be in the group stage. You can never count out Bayern Munich and German champions Borussia Dortmund, winners in 1997 remember, could be the real dark horses with their stylish, youthful exuberance. A cheeky bet on Dortmund making the semi-finals could be the best money you spend all year.

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PRESS DIGEST - New York Times business news - Oct 14


* People with eating disorders like anorexia are fighting insurers to pay for stays in residential treatment centers, an issue that is being considered by an appeals court in California.* A growing number of entrepreneurs in China, unable to make payments to illegal lenders, have gone into hiding to avoid physical harm or family dishonor.* The punishment for Raj Rajaratnam, the former chief of the Galleon Group, though less than the government sought, was the longest prison sentence ever for insider trading.* Google posts strong earnings and exceeds expectations. It’s core business, search advertising, seems so far to have weathered the economic doldrums that have hurt other sites and publications relying on ads.* European banks face deadline to raise capital levels. They are likely to oppose steps, including larger write-downs, that are designed to help deal with the sovereign debt crisis.* The controversy this week over an unorthodox circulation deal at the European edition of The Wall Street Journal complicates matters for News Corp leadership.* Research in Motion said it had resolved the technical issues that plagued service across five continents and that service had begun returning to normal.* Ford’s unionized workers, who haven’t received a raise in years, are upset with the big payouts to the company’s senior management.* The weakness in the global economy was underscored by reports published Thursday about the balance of trade in the United States and China.* In another sign of how the lines between profit-making and nonprofit are blurring, Wal-Mart on Friday will appoint a former senior executive of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to head its corporate foundation.* Despite a paper gain that helped lift earnings by nearly $2 billion, JPMorgan Chase & Company reported on Thursday that profit fell 4 percent in the third quarter amid lingering mortgage troubles and weak investment banking results.* Stocks fell on Wall Street on Thursday, weighed down by bank stocks after JPMorgan Chase reported that a slowdown in investment banking had hurt its results in the third quarter.* A bankruptcy court on Thursday approved the hiring of a chief restructuring officer at the California energy company Solyndra. Todd Neilson, who served as the bankruptcy trustee for the boxer Mike Tyson and the rap impresario Suge Knight, will now lead Solyndra as it struggles to emerge from bankruptcy.* In the midst of a deteriorating advertising climate, The New York Times plans to eliminate up to 20 newsroom positions and seek additional savings in the business units, the company said Thursday.

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PRESS DIGEST - CANADA - Oct 13


THE GLOBE AND MAIL:- The union representing Air Canada flight attendants cancelled a strike planned for Thursday after Ottawa intervened, triggering criticism about political meddling to quash workers’ rights.- The British Columbia Federation of Labour will join the Occupy Vancouver demonstration, throwing significant union support behind the grassroots movement.Report on Business Section:- A major technical glitch affected Research In Motion’s BlackBerry service across much of the globe on Wednesday, delaying e-mails and messages for an estimated 30-40 million users — about half of RIM’s customer base of 70 million.- Canadian patent enforcement company Mosaid Technologies Inc says it has lined up a private equity firm interested in topping a hostile takeover bid from Wi-LAN Inc , and regulators have given the company three more weeks to get a deal done.NATIONAL POST:- Shark-fin soup will no longer be legally sold in Mississauga after council passed a bylaw on Wednesday banning the controversial Chinese delicacy.- In a community centre in the multi-ethnic riding he represents, surrounded by the fresh faces who recently joined him in Parliament, the New Democratic Party’s Thomas Mulcair will officially join his party’s leadership race on Thursday.Financial Post section:- New home prices rose in August for the fifth-straight month as Canada’s housing market continued to show signs of resilience despite weaker economic growth.- Treasury Board President Tony Clement on Wednesday praised the fiscal record of successive Canadian governments “across party lines” for putting the country on a strong economic footing to manage the 2008-09 global recession better than most countries.

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FEATURE-Spain health service chokes as austerity tightens


* Even doctors say system may be too gold-platedBy Paul DayMADRID, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Medical suppliers haven’t been paid for as much as two years, emergency rooms have been shut down and doctors in Catalonia have been told to accept a pay cut or 1,500 medical residents will lose their jobs.Spain’s treasured public health care system has become the latest victim of the euro zone debt crisis.”We haven’t been paid, but there’s nothing we can do about it. We need the contracts, so we’re just going to have to wait it out,” said a representative for a cleaning company who did not want his or the firm’s name used for fear of a backlash.The company, which says it is owed hundreds of millions of euros by the government of the Castilla-La Mancha region south of Madrid, is one of dozens of providers of everything from surgical swabs to disinfectants struggling to pay workers as Spain’s regions delay payments to meet tight deficit targets.The debt-burdened autonomous regions’ spending cuts are a tangible sign of the present and future pain as Spain works to meet ambitious deficit reduction goals pledged to the European Union in the midst of an economic downturn.Spain’s political parties have kept their positions on the issue vague ahead of Nov. 20 general elections, but even the most passionate defenders of the current system agree there is scope for cost savings and more efficiency.Spain’s conservative opposition, the People’s Party (PP), which is expected to win in November, will likely cut into social welfare programmes the incumbent Socialists have left untouched.But even the Socialists now say they can find ways to reduce health spending without harming services. Examples include forcing car insurance firms to pay for the treatment of accident victims and sending foreign governments the bill when their citizens use Spanish hospitals.900-DAY WAITSMultinational pharmaceutical firm Roche says the Castilla y Leon region north of Madrid is more than 900 days behind on its bills, which has raised fears here that the company could start withholding drugs for some hospitals as it did in Greece, which is fighting off bankruptcy.Spain’s central government makes yearly transfers of income tax revenue to the country’s 17 autonomous regions, which are in charge of administering health care and schools.But the regions are being forced to make drastic budget cuts after piling up debt during Spain’s property boom, the collapse of which in 2008 sent the country into recession and unemployment soaring to more than 20 percent.As the regions squeeze spending wherever they can, what they owe to companies that provide health care services and products has risen 42 percent in a year to more than 4 billion euros, according to the Spanish Federation of Healthcare Technology, known as Fenin.AT Kearney consultancy calculates the system’s long-term deficit is 15 billion euros, a heavy burden for a government whose borrowing costs have soared in the euro zone debt crisis.Margarita Alfonsel, secretary general of Fenin, says small companies in her federation “are suffering to an alarming extent due to the liquidity squeeze.” She said some will have to lay off staff or go into bankruptcy.The average number of days providers must wait for payment has risen in the past year to 415 days, from 285 days, she said.”It was unacceptable before. Now it’s totally incomprehensible,” said Joaquin del Rincon, Spanish representative of Boston Scientific, which provides medical and surgical instruments to Spanish hospitals.”We have to explain to our central offices that this is an ongoing problem in Spain made worse by the crisis,” he said.DOCTORS FEARING FOR THEIR JOBSThe government in Catalonia, Spain’s wealthiest region, has shut down some clinics and emergency rooms over the past few months and has said it will lay off 1,500 medical residents if doctors refuse to accept pay and bonus cuts.The residents in late September staged marches through the Catalan capital Barcelona and draped banners around hospitals, and doctors’ unions have threatened to walk off the job. But many senior doctors are afraid to make a fuss and possibly lose their jobs when one in five Spaniards are out of work.”All of this is because of years of mismanagement by the politicians. The money has run out,” said one Catalan doctor, who asked not to be named.”We don’t know what is going on. We feel impotent to defend what we have. There is a huge fear of being sacked for doing so.”Budget pressures are not going away soon. Spain’s economy cannot create jobs until it has sustained growth of 2 percent a year, which could be a few years away, meaning sky-high unemployment will drag on, restricting growth in income taxes.And, as in many other developed countries, Spain’s health system is burdened by an ageing population enjoying long retirements on state pensions, while smaller families fail to fill the funding gap.Unlike other countries with public health care, complaints about long waits to see a doctor are rare in Spain. But now patients in Catalonia are starting to have to wait and doctors warn the quality of care will decline.”There will be less available budget for patients’ needs because we may find ourselves in a situation where we have to spend a lot of money correcting residents’ errors that could result from not having had the proper training,” said Jose Blanco, head of hospital education at German Trias Hospital.DEEPER CUTS TO COMEPrime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero has almost certainly guaranteed humiliation for his Socialists at the polls by implementing a wide-range of budget cuts to avoid mass dumping of Spanish debt by international investors.In August he passed a bill to save the public system over 2 billion euros a year on drugs. Drug companies slammed the measure, which forces doctors to favour generic medicines over brand names, as inefficient, damaging to the system and badly thought out.The PP, for its part, says the health sector must be reformed but are vague on details.Economists at conservative think-tanks that advise the PP have floated the idea of co-payments — where patients pay some of the bill to discourage overuse of the system.The system, which is common in many developed countries but anathema in Spain, is favoured by almost 60 percent of doctors, according to a study by the Spanish Society of Primary Care Doctors.TOO GOOD?Spain’s health spending growth has slowed and what it spends on health care is in line with the average for developed nations at about 9.5 percent of GDP in 2009, according to figures from the OECD group of wealthy nations. The lion’s share, 73.6 percent, is funded by the state.The system is so good and so cheap that many people use their private health insurance for routine care but head to a public hospital if they are diagnosed with a serious disease or condition.Cutbacks in the public health care system will force some people back into the private system, which many see as inadequate.Silvia Sanz, a 31-year-old teacher with type 1 diabetes, is planning to give birth at a public hospital after she lost her first baby at a private clinic just a month before her due date. She has private health insurance but has been told the public system is best for a high-risk pregnancy and birth.”In private, if anything goes badly, they don’t have the means to deal with it properly and, when you go back to them, they tell you you’re best to go public because they know they are better equipped to deal with complications than they are,” Silvia said.Foreigners can walk into 24-hour community clinics around Spain and get first-rate emergency care. When they

A TEXT POST

FEATURE-Spain health service chokes as austerity tightens


* Even doctors say system may be too gold-platedBy Paul DayMADRID, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Medical suppliers haven’t been paid for as much as two years, emergency rooms have been shut down and doctors in Catalonia have been told to accept a pay cut or 1,500 medical residents will lose their jobs.Spain’s treasured public health care system has become the latest victim of the euro zone debt crisis.”We haven’t been paid, but there’s nothing we can do about it. We need the contracts, so we’re just going to have to wait it out,” said a representative for a cleaning company who did not want his or the firm’s name used for fear of a backlash.The company, which says it is owed hundreds of millions of euros by the government of the Castilla-La Mancha region south of Madrid, is one of dozens of providers of everything from surgical swabs to disinfectants struggling to pay workers as Spain’s regions delay payments to meet tight deficit targets.The debt-burdened autonomous regions’ spending cuts are a tangible sign of the present and future pain as Spain works to meet ambitious deficit reduction goals pledged to the European Union in the midst of an economic downturn.Spain’s political parties have kept their positions on the issue vague ahead of Nov. 20 general elections, but even the most passionate defenders of the current system agree there is scope for cost savings and more efficiency.Spain’s conservative opposition, the People’s Party (PP), which is expected to win in November, will likely cut into social welfare programmes the incumbent Socialists have left untouched.But even the Socialists now say they can find ways to reduce health spending without harming services. Examples include forcing car insurance firms to pay for the treatment of accident victims and sending foreign governments the bill when their citizens use Spanish hospitals.900-DAY WAITSMultinational pharmaceutical firm Roche says the Castilla y Leon region north of Madrid is more than 900 days behind on its bills, which has raised fears here that the company could start withholding drugs for some hospitals as it did in Greece, which is fighting off bankruptcy.Spain’s central government makes yearly transfers of income tax revenue to the country’s 17 autonomous regions, which are in charge of administering health care and schools.But the regions are being forced to make drastic budget cuts after piling up debt during Spain’s property boom, the collapse of which in 2008 sent the country into recession and unemployment soaring to more than 20 percent.As the regions squeeze spending wherever they can, what they owe to companies that provide health care services and products has risen 42 percent in a year to more than 4 billion euros, according to the Spanish Federation of Healthcare Technology, known as Fenin.AT Kearney consultancy calculates the system’s long-term deficit is 15 billion euros, a heavy burden for a government whose borrowing costs have soared in the euro zone debt crisis.Margarita Alfonsel, secretary general of Fenin, says small companies in her federation “are suffering to an alarming extent due to the liquidity squeeze.” She said some will have to lay off staff or go into bankruptcy.The average number of days providers must wait for payment has risen in the past year to 415 days, from 285 days, she said.”It was unacceptable before. Now it’s totally incomprehensible,” said Joaquin del Rincon, Spanish representative of Boston Scientific, which provides medical and surgical instruments to Spanish hospitals.”We have to explain to our central offices that this is an ongoing problem in Spain made worse by the crisis,” he said.DOCTORS FEARING FOR THEIR JOBSThe government in Catalonia, Spain’s wealthiest region, has shut down some clinics and emergency rooms over the past few months and has said it will lay off 1,500 medical residents if doctors refuse to accept pay and bonus cuts.The residents in late September staged marches through the Catalan capital Barcelona and draped banners around hospitals, and doctors’ unions have threatened to walk off the job. But many senior doctors are afraid to make a fuss and possibly lose their jobs when one in five Spaniards are out of work.”All of this is because of years of mismanagement by the politicians. The money has run out,” said one Catalan doctor, who asked not to be named.”We don’t know what is going on. We feel impotent to defend what we have. There is a huge fear of being sacked for doing so.”Budget pressures are not going away soon. Spain’s economy cannot create jobs until it has sustained growth of 2 percent a year, which could be a few years away, meaning sky-high unemployment will drag on, restricting growth in income taxes.And, as in many other developed countries, Spain’s health system is burdened by an ageing population enjoying long retirements on state pensions, while smaller families fail to fill the funding gap.Unlike other countries with public health care, complaints about long waits to see a doctor are rare in Spain. But now patients in Catalonia are starting to have to wait and doctors warn the quality of care will decline.”There will be less available budget for patients’ needs because we may find ourselves in a situation where we have to spend a lot of money correcting residents’ errors that could result from not having had the proper training,” said Jose Blanco, head of hospital education at German Trias Hospital.DEEPER CUTS TO COMEPrime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero has almost certainly guaranteed humiliation for his Socialists at the polls by implementing a wide-range of budget cuts to avoid mass dumping of Spanish debt by international investors.In August he passed a bill to save the public system over 2 billion euros a year on drugs. Drug companies slammed the measure, which forces doctors to favour generic medicines over brand names, as inefficient, damaging to the system and badly thought out.The PP, for its part, says the health sector must be reformed but are vague on details.Economists at conservative think-tanks that advise the PP have floated the idea of co-payments — where patients pay some of the bill to discourage overuse of the system.The system, which is common in many developed countries but anathema in Spain, is favoured by almost 60 percent of doctors, according to a study by the Spanish Society of Primary Care Doctors.TOO GOOD?Spain’s health spending growth has slowed and what it spends on health care is in line with the average for developed nations at about 9.5 percent of GDP in 2009, according to figures from the OECD group of wealthy nations. The lion’s share, 73.6 percent, is funded by the state.The system is so good and so cheap that many people use their private health insurance for routine care but head to a public hospital if they are diagnosed with a serious disease or condition.Cutbacks in the public health care system will force some people back into the private system, which many see as inadequate.Silvia Sanz, a 31-year-old teacher with type 1 diabetes, is planning to give birth at a public hospital after she lost her first baby at a private clinic just a month before her due date. She has private health insurance but has been told the public system is best for a high-risk pregnancy and birth.”In private, if anything goes badly, they don’t have the means to deal with it properly and, when you go back to them, they tell you you’re best to go public because they know they are better equipped to deal with complications than they are,” Silvia said.Foreigners can walk into 24-hour community clinics around Spain and get first-rate emergency care. When they